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A Neo-Con Convinces Me To Leave Iraq


By Ali Eteraz
Posted on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 02:11:13 PM EST
Tags: iraq, politics, essay (all tags)

I a) didn't want to go fight a war in Iraq, but b) once we ended up there, I felt we needed to c) leave the place better than we found it, and d) before leaving had  to provide for the country, so that e) upon our leaving, the country didn't become a humanitarian sinkhole. That point e was the real kicker for me, and until very recently I was getting kicked by the progressive left for holding the position. In other words, until two weeks ago, I was not ready to leave Iraq. Now, thanks to a Neo-Conservative writer, I am ready.

Sideways Mencken's views are put forth in a series of four hard hitting posts. The most salient conclusion comes in the first one:

As for Iraq, we've lost that fight. It's too late to double down. We can either cut and run, or we can surge men into Baghdad, shoot some Sadrists, stomp around for a while, hand Mr. Bush a wilted fig leaf with which to cover himself . . . and then cut and run.

In the end the Iraqis will have their fight. They'll probably split the country. We'll try to salvage Kurdistan. We'll continue attacking Al Qaeda in Anbar from 30,000 feet, or with special forces. None of that will be changed because we stay another six months or year or eighteen months. Staying some undefined period will not salvage a win, or save our reputation, or strengthen our hand, or accomplish anything of any value.

Why is this conclusion so hard hitting? Hasn't everyone else been saying it? Well, for this simple reason:

I supported the invasion of Iraq. And I supported it specifically on the Tom Friedman-NeoCon Build a Shining City On The Hill, notion.

The other reason I believe Sideways is because he has been arguing for a year and a half before the ISG that you needed more troops and more power to win the war; that the Rumsfeld model for fighting was crap. In other words, I believe him because he was more hawkish than the hawks. He took the hawks to task for not being hawkish enough. When this person says its time to get out, I'm going to listen:

Power. Force. Violence.

Would that it were not so. Yes, war sucks.

Why are we losing in Iraq? Because we didn't bring the power.

It's not that we aren't united. It's not that we had the "wrong" configuration of troops as opposed to the exactly "right" configuration. It's not that reporters don't like the war. It's not that the American people are weak sisters. It's not that the Iraqis are some especially tough case.

We didn't bring the power. Oh, we have the power. But we didn't bring it.

Now, belatedly, after three years of trying to convince us that we were winning, the nerds have begun to admit what has been obvious since "Stuff happens." They admit that we're having problems in Iraq. And along with the grudging admission that we aren't exactly winning, comes the sneaking concession that what they have angrily denied for three years was necessary, has beecome necessary: more power. Now the Rumsfeldians admit, we may just need more men. Say . . . 20,000 more. Just for Baghdad.

His being right allows him to spout off in rhetorical bluster. I am glad to see it because Neo-Cons everywhere need to be smacked with it and to be reminded that a children's book writer figured out the logic of war from his basement:

And while we're at it, let's note the fact that what I've been saying since about a month after "Stuff happens," to whit that we needed more not less -- and what does it tell you about the geniuses out there in the President's cheering section that this is actually an insight? -- is now White House doctrine.

Keeping score at home? The new-army Rumsfeldians: Zero. Me: One. Them wrong, me right. Them: learned, sober, firm-chinned men of prodigious upper-lip-stiffness who write in ponderous, magisterial tones replete with references to the Entente Cordiale and sneer as I run around with my hair on fire. Me: a kids book writer who made his money writing, "Rrowwrr!".

Does it not scare you just a bit that the kid's book hack got it, and the Krauthammer-manque crowd didn't? Isn't that just disturbing?

Yes, George, we need a bigger army. Yes, more is better than less. And if you're fighting several wars at once a BIG army is better than a tiny army. And more money is better than less, and healthy is better than sick, and the sky is blue. So many things to learn, George.

Okay. Bigger army. Now. Where the hell are you going to get one? Because honest-to-God I cannot imagine what would convince a man to risk his life to get a piece of this cosmic fuck up. This is like enlisting in 1970 when all you were going to get was your name on a sad black wall and no glory.

Finally, Sideways makes the brilliant argument that not only was he right (after all, he's just a blogger), but that the MSM was right about doubting the war as well:

The MSM was right, the rightwing echo chamber was wrong. Thus speaks the guy who once wrote a National Review cover story headlined, "We're Winning!" And, according to Lowry, he and his confreres were not just wrong, but wrong with a persistance that actively contributed to the mess in Iraq. Defeat looms in part because knee-jerk critics of the MSM simply would not or could not take off the blinders and see the truth.

Not only that, but as a Jew, Sideways notices with curiosity that now that all has been lost, the country subconsciously is blaming the Jews:

But you have to add to this strategic myopia a prejudice against the so-called mainstream media that has turned the MSM into a modern version of the Jew: everyone's default scapegoat. Did the war go badly for you, Kaiser? Blame the Jew, er, the MSM.

The MSM: they mix the blood of gentile children with their matzoh. That's why the beet crop failed and your cow gave birth to a two-headed calf.

It takes a lot to make me overcome my humanitarian concerns, but these four posts written by a former believer who didn't just want a "limited" war but a "total" war, demonstrate to me that the war is lost not just tactically but even if we suddenly change our goals from "victory" to "defending the weakest."

No, the weakest will have to prostitute themselves to the strongest to survive. That will be the legacy of our attempted utopia. All we can do, as Americans, is to get people relief from channels that aren't military, and to help as many refugees find asylum elsewhere. 

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Tags: iraq, politics, essay (all tags)
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Excellent(none / 0) (#1)
by G. Willow Wilson on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 02:20:47 PM EST
A painful and grim but excellent analysis. The only thing left to do in Iraq is make the rubble bounce. What a broken affair.

also(none / 0) (#2)
by Ali Eteraz on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 02:29:54 PM EST

i read on his blog the most appropriate metaphor for Iraq:

there is a fire on the bed (iraq/terror) and the wife is screaming (the left) and the man is pissing to put it out (bush) 



[ Parent ]




"All We Can Do As Americans"(none / 0) (#3)
by kitkat on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 03:05:48 PM EST

All we can do, as Americans, is to get people relief from channels that aren't military, and to help as many refugees find asylum elsewhere.

Ali, do you really think we're going to be able to make this happen?

The media isn't even talking about that as an important American value!

How the hell do you expect to get this great idea circulating as an important debate issue in any less than 20 years?

Do you have a secret booking on Oprah that I don't know about?  Because a few books and newspaper editorials and blogs aren't gonna do it. 



"All We Can Do As Americans," part 2(none / 0) (#4)
by kitkat on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 03:10:08 PM EST

I just saw your comment, so I'll even reframe my question:

How do you propose getting enough of anyone--the screamers and/or the pissers--to shut up (on the one side) and stop feeling like some amount of water's the answer (on the other side) and get to work on getting the pillows off the bed (analagous to "helping people find asylum") within the the timespan of the fire?



[ Parent ]
Kitkat(none / 0) (#11)
by G. Willow Wilson on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 10:55:14 PM EST

Where has your zakat gone this year? Do you volunteer State-side for an international aid NGO? Support the Red Cross/Red Crescent or Medicins Sans Frontiers? Gotten in touch with any one of the dozens of Iraqi charities that have sprung up since the war?

There's your answer.



[ Parent ]
Re: "All We Can Do As Americans"(none / 0) (#23)
by kitkat on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:30:24 AM EST
  • volunteer State-side for an international aid NGO?
  • Support the Red Cross/Red Crescent or Medicins Sans Frontiers
  • get in touch with any one of the dozens of Iraqi charities that have sprung up since the war

Thanks, G. Willow Wilson. 

If anyone has any more, I'd love to hear them, but I am going to write these initial ones down in the "overarching to-do list" in my 2007 planner. 



[ Parent ]








Excellent Post(none / 0) (#5)
by Harun abd AsSami on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 05:28:43 PM EST

I would keep in mind the neo-cons don't have the same definition of victory and defeat we do. If you have seen a bullet list from the current administration any where any time on what defines victory in Iraq I would love to see it.

In their mind victory just keeps getting better and better:

Their Prime Minister – Ehud Olmert – is obviously satisfied with the results. During his official visit to the United States on November 13th, he thanked Bush for the Mess on Potamia. “We in the Middle East have followed the American policy in Iraq for a long time, and we are very much impressed and encouraged by the stability which the great operation of America in Iraq brought to the Middle East.” 

To them the more f'ed up the better.



harun(none / 0) (#6)
by shams on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 08:02:48 PM EST

i usta be a neo-con...i got stripped of my colors and drummed out of the regiment.

but no one wins if we cut and run, neither side.  warfare evolves, like everthing else.  if we dont learn how to fight this....it will rule the world.  It will become the dominant paradigm.

=( 



[ Parent ]


If you think freedom and democracy are worthless(none / 0) (#10)
by TallDave on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 10:28:03 PM EST

But the truth is Iraq has gotten both more free and more violent.

Once 400,000 people died in a war for the liberty of 4 million, in which one country invaded another and overthrew its government.  Many of the same arguments were made about whether it was worth doing.  Most believed it was not.  Here in America, we called it our Civil War.



[ Parent ]




Weak argument(none / 0) (#7)
by TallDave on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 09:53:03 PM EST

A very simpleminded analysis, long on bombast but short on facts. 

The only metric by which we're "losing" is opinion polls.  The regime has been removed and a government established.   Iraq has gone from being ranked as one of the least free to being one of the most free countries in the Mideast, both politically and economically.  We've successfully held three elections, each with larger turnout.  Militarily, the insurgents can't even mount an attack larger than platoon size anymore, and they hold no cities (remember the sieges of Fallujah and Najaf?).  There are now 325,000 ISF and more every day, and are expected to take over the fight within a few years. 

Yes, there is violence in Iraq.  The ignorant or defeatist may confuse this with failure, but the fact is Iraq has been more violent than this for decades, it just didn't make the headlines because it wasn't a political hot potato in the West.  Remember, they are still pulling people out of mass graves all over Iraq.



I reposted this as it didn't seem to show up.(none / 0) (#9)
by TallDave on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 10:12:36 PM EST
Please ignore this as I edited and re-posted.

[ Parent ]




Very weak(none / 0) (#8)
by TallDave on Tue Dec 26, 2006 at 10:11:23 PM EST

A very simpleminded analysis, long on bombast but short on facts. 

With apologies to the doomsayers, the only metric by which we're "losing" is opinion polls.  The regime has been removed and a government established.   Iraq has gone from being ranked as one of the least free to being one of the most free countries in the Mideast, both politically and economically.  We've successfully held three elections, each with larger turnout.  Militarily, the insurgents can't even mount an attack larger than platoon size anymore, and they now hold no cities (remember the sieges of Fallujah and Najaf?).  There are now 325,000 ISF and more every day, they fight next to U.S. troops on more than half of missions, and they are expected to take over the fight within a few years.  All those trends are favorable.

Yes, there is violence in Iraq, and it has gotten worse in the Sunni areas, where the displaced minority elite still resent the end of their brutal, profitable reign.  That violence may continue a generation or more; it's really up to them.  The ignorant or defeatist may confuse this with failure, but the fact is Iraq has been more violent than this for decades, it just didn't make the headlines because it wasn't a political hot potato in the West.  Remember, they are still pulling people out of mass graves all over Iraq.

We can't control whether people choose to be violent, but we can shape the outcome so the relatively moderate democrats come out in charge and not the outright thugs.





My Insane Proposal(none / 0) (#12)
by Not Your Mama on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 03:24:43 AM EST

All we can do, as Americans, is to get people relief from channels that aren't military, and to help as many refugees find asylum elsewhere. 

Hypothetically, in my fantasy world where they consulted unimportant middle-aged women on policy decisions I'd say first of all we need to negotiate with our dear friends in Saudi to take in as many Sunni refugees as possible.  Same thing with any other country in the region that we have any chance of negotiating with at all for whichever sect predominates in that country. 

Next, the administration is crying (now, finally) that we need a larger military.  Obviously they are not getting recruits from the US population and they are now contemplating recruiting from other countries with the offer of an expedited "path to citizenship".  Okay.  Recruit Iraqis.  Join up and your family gets resident status while you serve, assuming you serve well or if you are killed or injured while in service...you all get citizenship while retaining Iraqi citizenship. 

Screen and process as many Iraqis as quickly as possible for resident visas.  We owe them that. 

Clean the mess up.  Many citizens will choose to return to their home country, many won't.  It doesn't matter...more would be alive.

Okay, sounds crazy but getting non-combatants out of the way is really the only way to do anything effective AND salvage a little decency out of this mess.   We have the resources to do this.  It wouldn't be perfect, it also would not be worse than what exists now.  Certainly there would be risks but what does not entail risks?  Hiding under our beds?

Of course we aren't likely to do any of the above and I'm clearly insane for even contemplating this.  We will continue to muddle along piling up bodies until we decide to bail out.





A painfully stupid, ridiculous analysis(none / 0) (#13)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 04:06:10 AM EST

Yes, yes, yes. Less than a year after finally forming a democratically elected government under a Constitution the Iraqis wrote themselves, all is lost in Iraq.

Whatever. Just another handwringer who stupidly thought that we'd have utopia, and is now "disillusioned" because he was never an adult about these things in the first place.

The man obviously knows nothing of the history of war, of the history of large-scale occupations, or the history of democracy itself.  So by dint of that, he feels free to bash anyone who dares disagree with his bullshit--and better, to describe all who would disagree with him as nerds working in their basements, as opposed to, y'know, countless people who've actually served over there who still don't agree with him.

What a gutless, spineless, racist, colonialist, imperialist, and utterly inhuman thing it would be to leave Iraq now. And please, make no mistake about it, that's exactly what this series of "excellent" posts you're so enthralled with amount to, Ali. Did you even catch it? He's suggesting openly that the Iraqis are just to primitive and barbaric to handle democracy and that only "utopianism" made us think they were intelligent and civil enough to ever handle it--because, less than a year after forming their first democratic government, parts of the country are still violent (never mind that most of the country isn't and that the evil fascist "insurgency" is weaker than ever). And he's arguing not that we just abandon these Muslim savages who are incapable of civilized behavior, he's also suggesting, quite openly, that in future in that country we won't bother to try to do anything except drop munitions out of bombers, slaughtering far more than we ever do now. 

One thing about the defeatists is this: they never change their spots. Yes, yes, every few months yet another handwringer leaves and declares himself disillusioned. Well the disillusioned were stupid idiots in the first place, and invariably what they recommend will result in far more death and oppression.

Applaud all you want. Death and racism are what you're applauding.



oh, and by the way...(none / 0) (#14)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 04:16:42 AM EST

Oh and by the way, he discussion <a href="http://www.deanesmay.com/posts/1167171202.shtml">here</a> ought to be sobering for anyone who sits around applauding this idiot's shallow thoughts: those who now agree with this racist stupidity are now basically saying, "you're right, Muslims are basically inherently savage and evil, and in the future we should just bomb the shit out of large swaths of the civilian population if we suffer any terrorist attacks."

Sugar-coat it all you want, THAT is what you're now applauding as so wise and thoughtful and realistic.

So let's look again at what's really going on:

Because some elements in Iraq keep murdering in order to fight for theocracy or a return to dictatorship, we should now abandon the entire country because less than a year after forming their own government everything is not now a perfect utopia, and instead we should just bomb the shit out of these Arab savages any time our interests are threatened.

That's what you guys are applauding. Hey, I get it. Obviously, however, you don't.



[ Parent ]
Come On(none / 0) (#15)
by G. Willow Wilson on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 05:22:27 AM EST

Give me a break. Racist? What's more racist than patently ignoring the will of the Iraqi people--which has been 'please leave' loud and clear for some time now, and was in fact 'don't come' to begin with--with the rationale that they are too Arab to know what's good for them?

A constitution is a piece of paper. Egypt has one; it hasn't made Egyptians one bit freer or more prosperous than they were under the Khedives. Iraq has one; it hasn't made Iraqis one bit safer than they were under Saddam. It baffles me that conservatives insist on treating consitutional democracy like a kind of sympathetic voodoo magic: as soon as you've got one, all is well. Never mind that the American states were in turmoil for two decades after their constitution was written. Every day on Al Zawraa' the jihadists are broadcasting the sniping of American soldiers in the streets of Baghdad. They don't show you that on CNN: the way a marine's head snaps back when he is shot in the face, the way he collapses like a marionette a split second later. They don't show it because I think you'd have to be cynical to the point of sociopathy to consider another several thousand (if not tens of thousands) such young people an 'acceptable loss' for the maintenance of a system that simply isn't working. Sugar coat that, sir. 

 



[ Parent ]
the reason we cant leave is because(none / 0) (#16)
by shams on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 05:58:16 AM EST

we weren't asked to come there in the first place.

But now that we are there we have to stay.  We need to be smarter about what we're doing.  We can do that if we give up the democracy as universal panacea and quit meddling in the Iraqi government.  Sho, Sadr is evil, so put him in a structure where more moderate clerics can influence him.  do amnesty.  butt out. 

this is the new warfare.  If we dont learn to fight it in Iraq, we'll be fighting it elsewhere.  Warfighting models are far more transportable than democracy.  This i know. 



[ Parent ]
Sadr et. al.(none / 0) (#20)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:12:53 AM EST

I'm all for avoiding meddling--except that the elected Iraqi government keeps asking for our help, and as long as they do so we should continue doing what we can to help them.

As for Sadr: there's no reason what you want can't be done already by the Iraqi government, or by any non-government group in Iraq who wants to propose it.  Indeed, there have been such meetings in the past--and Sadr has refused to attend them.

I've never believed democracy is a "universal panacea" or that it would instantly turn Iraq into a land where everybody held hands and hugged each other and milk and honey and sweet music flowed like waterfalls.

Sideways Mencken's obvious problem is that he was a utopianist, and so now is "disullusioned" because he had juvenile fantasies about what Iraq would be like. Now that his juvenile fantasies didn't come to pass, he blames the rest of us for his own foolishness. I'm not impressed.
 



[ Parent ]




The Will of the People of Iraq(none / 0) (#19)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:08:01 AM EST

...has been expressed, clearly, in the drafting of their own Constitution and in the free elections they held.

So you're just confused, son. You've mistaken fascist murdering thugs--the so-called "insurgency"--with "the Iraqi people." Which says all one needs to say about what you really think about Arabs, doesn't it?



[ Parent ]


By the way, just to fact-check you(none / 0) (#21)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:22:46 AM EST

By the way: Iraq is already, measurably, both safer and freer than it ever was under Saddam. It's pathetic that anyone thinks otherwise when the facts on the ground simply don't support this.

Also, except for "Sideways Mencken" I've never encountered any conservative (or neocon, which by the way is another word for "liberal humanist") who believed that democracy would instantly turn Iraq into utopia. So who are you kidding?

The difference, dear Arab-hater, between the Iraqi Constitution is that popularly elected Iraqi officials wrote it themselves, then a national referendum was held and it was ratified by the overwhelming majority of the Iraqi people. But, you know, if you really don't believe Arabs in general or Muslims in particular are really capable of self-government in a democratic system, then I guess it would be easy to say that their Constitution is merely a "piece of paper." 

In the meantime, spare us your self-righteous posturing about what it looksl ike when people die in combat. You'd have to be a complete idiot not to realize that these things happen and that they're ugly--and I HAVE seen footage of people being killed this way. I'd seen it long before we went in, in fact. It's what war is, son, and if you don't know that then you're a complete idiot. If you don't want to experience it, then here's a clue: don't volunteer to serve in the armed forces. 

I have friends and relatives who've served over there, and I've been trying to get over there myself for some time now.
Most everyone I know who's actually been there favored going and favors our staying. So tell ya what, why don't we just let the troops themselves decide whether they want to serve over there or not? (But, oh yeah, re-enlistment rates are at record levels. What a shock, the troops actually want to help the Iraqi people? No way!!)



[ Parent ]
dean(none / 0) (#22)
by Ali Eteraz on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:29:04 AM EST

you argue the humanitarian interventionist case quite potently.

the trouble, the ultimate trouble, with this argument is that our humanitarian presence is predicated on what most people in the world consider an illegal act of unilateral belligerance. humanitarianism, by itself, is a-ok with me. but here humanitarianism is indelibly tied to occupation. as such, as our continued stay in iraq, merely emboldens and strengthens those that claim to resist us (yes, even if they be butchers).



[ Parent ]
Nutty Buddy(none / 0) (#25)
by takhallus on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 08:09:38 AM EST
I winced when I saw that you linked to this post from Esmay&#39;s site.&nbsp; I should have warned you Dean goes nuts whenever I appear.&nbsp; You&#39;ll end up banned from his site and denounced as a self-hating Muslim.&nbsp;

[ Parent ]
nothing to worry(none / 0) (#26)
by Ali Eteraz on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 08:14:10 AM EST

about.

both of the muslim contributors at dean's (me and aziz) opposed the war and want to leave. i actually think that dean's concern for the advancement of the iraqi people is really genuine. i just dont think that the circumstances are such that people of this kind of concern can create something positive. largely b/c the only person i've ever met whose concern i believed is dean. 



[ Parent ]




I cringe...(none / 0) (#30)
by OmarG on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 11:44:23 AM EST

I cringe when I read things like this:

>>an illegal act of unilateral belligerance

This trend of trying to legally sanitize war patently disturbs me. War should not be "legalized" or subjected to any such PC nonsense. War is inherently about using force when legal methods fail, such as negotiations. "Belligerence" may be abhorant to the silver-spoons, ivory towers, and post-XYZs, but its a harsh fact of life itself on every level: the schoolyard, the streets, in the home, in the workplace, in the international arena, etc. Trying to "legislate" away a fundamental part of human nature is quixotic at best.

Now, for the other side: Dean, I'm a former Marine deployed many times. You say we are not loosing. I agree that media reports of far-off unfamiliar places can lead to false impressions such as Iraq being in a constant state of barbarism, we are loosing. Our own DoD stats show increasing enemy capabilities in the form of skyrocketing rates IED attacks, casualty rates are increasing for both US forces and Iraqis. We are effective in killing insurgents, but like most insurgencies, it has an incredible staying power. When the enemy is becoming more effective and our strategic objectives are not showing progress towards acheivment, what do YOU call that?

Now, Willow. The Iraqi's who don't want us there are also the ones killing us there. The opinion pools show that, naturally, people are not happy with foriegn military forces on thier lands. Duh; who would? They also show that they are quite pleased overall (minus the sunnis who still harbor dreams of overlordship over the 'Ajam' and 'Rafidin') that Saddam is gone. They also seem to show, along with interviews, that Iraqi's do not support the insurgents; there is no heroic "Che" and no reason to let them succeed in subjugating the population which is exactly what both the insurgents and Shi'a militias will totally achieve if we bail now. 

I don't know what the solution should be between partition and a massive re-invasion and re-do it from scratch with 300,000 troops to annihilate the Sunni and Shia militias. Short of that, Iraqi society is coming apart at the seams; it doesn't take 100% buy-in by the people to achieve civil war; it only takes avery few determined people to start the killing off...which is what we are already seeing.



[ Parent ]
just war?(none / 0) (#33)
by LawrenceofArabia on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 12:26:56 PM EST

how ever problematic the just war tradition may be, it is not the trend to attempt have rules that govern war is long standing...in the latin world it at least goes back to augustine.  so if there is a trend it is to be increasingly unconcerned with the use of violence and the willingness to use it without contraints against those deemed to be enemies.  this is in fact turning one's back on the historical trends by which people tried to maintain their humanity, even when engaged in war.

 


Lawrence of Arabia
[ Parent ]
edit(none / 0) (#34)
by LawrenceofArabia on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 12:34:02 PM EST
however problematic the just war tradition may be, it is not a new trend to attempt have rules that govern war.  that trend is long standing.
Lawrence of Arabia
[ Parent ]




Solution that's not partition or do-over(none / 0) (#37)
by kitkat on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 02:42:30 PM EST

I don't know what the solution should be between partition and a massive re-invasion and re-do it from scratch with 300,000 troops to annihilate the Sunni and Shia militias.

Do you agree or disagree that this could be a solution?  (It's neither of those two...)

Why?

 

(Found on Shams's diary



[ Parent ]


Law and warfare(none / 0) (#40)
by thabet on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 03:34:20 AM EST
This trend of trying to legally sanitize war patently disturbs me. War should not be "legalized" or subjected to any such PC nonsense. War is inherently about using force when legal methods fail, such as negotiations.

Spare us the "PC" nonsense, Omar. Calling something "PC" is merely telling us it is something you dislike. It is not an argument.

As Lawrence pointed out, I don't see how you can say there is no such thing as regulation of warfare through legal means (when it can be fought and how to fight it). These discussions on what constitutes a "just war" exist in the Western and Islamic traditions for a milennia or more; they're hardly the creation of the "PC" police.


--------------------------------
warning: highly corrosive
[ Parent ]
You're kidding!(none / 0) (#42)
by OmarG on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 11:17:22 AM EST

Obviously, you've never been to war. "Regulation" of war is the fantasy of guilty people who want to remove the blemish of killing other human beings. The insurgents do not regulate jack shit in thier warfare. This is exactly what PC is: make up trite little rules about inherently savage activities to make us feel oh so civilized before tea time.

Tell me how its beneficial and where and how it actually works. The Marines on the streets of Ramadi and Falluja and Baghdad kill the enemy and die in large numbers because they follow arcane "regulations" that are supposed to protect civilians but end up only giving cover to the insurgents: shoot at us, then put down thier weapons and claim to be civilians



[ Parent ]


Also...(none / 0) (#43)
by OmarG on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 11:22:26 AM EST
These discussions on what constitutes a "just war" exist in the Western and Islamic traditions for a milennia or more; they're hardly the creation of the "PC" police.
Yes, but they are completely irrelevant and serve only to advance the interests of the government / sultan when they feel like following them. They are also nothing more than a restraining tool used by opponents to limit the effectiveness of a country's combat power. Like the Geneva Conventions, they are routinely violated and mean absolutely nothing on the mean streets and battlefields. Like I said, obviously you are not experienced in actual war and so cannot possibly understand the brutal application of violence on other human beings. Your view is precisely that of the silver spoon crowd who thinks it can legislate away violence in our so-called "civilization", and because it is an illusion, albeit a cherished illusion, we are loosing our wars. Islamists follow no such rules of regulating war, but I see no protests over them and therefore they are morally winning thanks to the Pc platitutudes of "civilized" warfare. bullshit.

[ Parent ]
Law and warfare2(none / 0) (#44)
by thabet on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 12:04:44 PM EST

Yes, I haven't been to war. I never said otherwise.

And yes I can only imagine such laws and regulations are ignored or glossed over by people. That was not my point though. People will always steal and rob, murder and rape. This is part of "human nature" too. Should we abandon all discussions and laws on these matters too?  

Islamists follow no such rules of regulating war, but I see no protests over them and therefore they are morally winning thanks to the Pc platitutudes of "civilized" warfare. bullshit.

What and which "Islamists"? Whether your like them or not, you need to be more precise in who you're talking about. There is no need to be slapdash.

And I also agree: there should be outcry by Muslims over tactics used by the "resistance" which involve blowing up anyone (women, children etc.), tearing people from limb to limb, etc. Which was my point. It has to be shown that they have betrayed the "tradition" they claim to be defending; this at least can combat any moral support they might enjoy amongst Muslims.


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warning: highly corrosive
[ Parent ]
Further(none / 0) (#45)
by thabet on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 12:58:54 PM EST

You don't have to be a veteran to understand the brutal violence humans are capable of inflicting on one another.

And I cannot afford silver spoons. Stainless steel is about as luxurious as it gets for me. 


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warning: highly corrosive
[ Parent ]
me neither(none / 0) (#46)
by dawood on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 04:46:42 PM EST

and even the stainless steel ones still bend when you try to scoop out ice cream from the tub.

Keep up the good discussion guys!



[ Parent ]














Fact Check?(none / 0) (#24)
by G. Willow Wilson on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:32:12 AM EST

Measurably safer? Not according to the UN or the Red Cross. Where are you getting your statistics?

Just by the by, I'm a woman.   



[ Parent ]
It's not terribly complicated(none / 0) (#31)
by TallDave on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 11:44:53 AM EST

Saddam killed around 2 million people by a fairly conservative estimate.  That works out to about 83,000 a year.

The number of people killed in Iraq since the war began, according to the antiwar IBC, is less than 20,000 per year (keep in mind the Lancet studies, which come up with different numbers, were not measures of people killed but of excess deaths, something quite different).

So one can say the Saddam era was, on average, four times more deadly than the post-Saddam era.



[ Parent ]






Ignoring the will of the people?(none / 0) (#28)
by TallDave on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 11:33:24 AM EST

But you oppose the war the brought them democracy.  Logically you can't argue for leaving Iraq in the hands of a dictator then complain about the will of the people being ignored.

In fact, opinion is divided about when Iraqis would like Americans to leave.  The Kurds want us to stay forever.  The Sunnis wish we had never come in 1991.  The Shia are ambivalent.



[ Parent ]




Takhallus Defends(none / 0) (#17)
by takhallus on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 06:15:58 AM EST
What, no spitting, Dean?  I would have thought I'd merit more than just your usual raving.  Where's the crazy man spitting we've all come to recognize as the true voice of reason?<div>
</div><div>After three and a half years there is no part of Iraq safe enough for the US president and the Iraqi Prime Minister to hold a meeting.  So cut the nonsense about how lovely things are in Iraq.  A SecDef still cannot announce a visit in advance. There are better than a million internally displaced Iraqis and the intelligentsia has relocated to Jordan.  Iraqis who can manage to do so are voting with their feet, and if you handed out one-way tickets to Los Angeles or Amman or Vancouver or Cairo the country of Iraq would empty out.  The Iraqis have figured it out.  As you admit, Dean, just about everyone but you has figured it out.  It's just you and George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.  Dean Esmay:  the last man spitting.</div><div>
</div><div><span class="Apple-style-span">As for naivete, rather the contrary as you'd recognize if you could get a grip on yourself.  Naivete is believing that Iraq would have an easier path to democracy than, say, Japan or Germany.  We imposed democracy on those two countries at the point of a gun.  My argument from the start has been that it was entirely possible to impose democracy on Iraq so long as we <span style="font-style: italic" class="Apple-style-span">imposed</span> it.  Your argument appears to be that what we did in imposing democracy on Japan and Germany was wrong.  Or that by some twisted logic it is "racist" to do with Arabs what we did with Japanese and Germans. </span></div><div>
</div><div>Well, Dean, Japan and Germany have been models of good world citizenship for 60 years.  Twenty years after we imposed our racist democracy on Japan they were sending Toyotas our way, not suicide bombers.  It was "boot-on-neck" democratization.  Democracy imposed from above.  It worked.  We had a working model going into Iraq.  We  had successfully transformed two totalitarian, highly-militarized states.  And in the process we had created in western Europe a protected space where authoritarian states like Spain and Portugal were islolated and democracies could flourish. </div><div>
</div><div>But naive ideologues have no use for history.  And so we get the magical thinking that led us to believe that knocking off  Saddam would, all by itself, cause a thousand New Hampshire town meetings to bloom.  </div><div>
</div><div>You're wrong, Dean.  You've been wrong from the start.  And I know it burns, but I've been right.  Loudly proclaiming yourself as the defender of the faith doesn't help, Dean.  In fact it has hurt.  What was needed from the start was a sober assessment of the mismatch between means and goals.  By doing your best to distort reality and attack any rational critic of our strategy you have contributed to the cause of the jihadis and Baathists.  You've helped them, Dean, and hurt the people of Iraq.  By denying reality, by covering your ears and yelling, "La la la, I can't hear you," and by denouncing as traitors everyone from John McCain on down to little old me, you have actively harmed the best interests of the Iraqi people and the United States.</div><div>
</div><div>Go to war or don't go to war but don't go halfway to war.  You do that you have Iraq 2006. </div>

[ Parent ]
Hahahah(none / 0) (#18)
by desmay on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:06:22 AM EST
The only people I've ever virtually "spit" at are Islamophobic assholes and racists. I'm not particularly ashamed of that.


[ Parent ]


Maybe(none / 0) (#29)
by TallDave on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 11:38:04 AM EST

Sure, it might have been easier to occupy Iraq had we nuked Tikrit and Ramadi a la Japan, or firebombed Baghdad to the ground and had the population on the brink of starvation as happened in Germany.

It's hard to make a moral case for killing millions of people when you don't have to.



[ Parent ]
Phony(none / 0) (#32)
by takhallus on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 11:55:24 AM EST
Phony argument, TallDave.  I never said we needed a war of annihilation, I said we needed to impose democracy if we expected to be effective.  Had we listened to general Shinseki and gone in with 400k men we could have written the rules -- as we did in Japan and Germany.  <div>
</div><div>Only the truly delusional think things are going well in Iraq.  Even the president admits we're not winning.   He's not ready to admit we're losing but then he's three years late in admitting part one of the equation.  Now, finally, belatedly, too late, he's looking at a permanent increase in enlistment and a major increase in force in Iraq.</div><div>
</div><div>In other words, the President now agrees with me on both points, and not with what I recall of your longstanding position or of Dean's position.  And for the crime of being right long before the president figured it out, I'm a traitor to humanity.  Classic.</div>

[ Parent ]










Get a Grip, All(none / 0) (#27)
by Patricio on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 08:56:01 AM EST
Hey! Dean, TD,  everyone - slow it down a bit...all of us are rooting for peace and good things to happen when they can be brought about...NOBODY here is calling for jihadist victory. It's only ways and means, and nothing nothing nothing gets done unless communication is allowed to proceed without destroying, through this raw, overly emotional shouting match, all that keeps us moving to forge together some kind of a plan of action which could concievably help the powers that control the war to find lasting solutions. You guys (sorry Willow, I use the term to cover everyone) sound like a bag of cats. Virtuous me hardly ever shouts down those foolish enough to suggest I'm wrong about something. I'm wrong so often that it would take up all my time.

Thanks(none / 0) (#36)
by G. Willow Wilson on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 01:59:14 PM EST
Thanks as always for your voice of calm and reason, Pat.

[ Parent ]




and btw,..(none / 0) (#35)
by LawrenceofArabia on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 12:43:27 PM EST

it was always arrogance to think that the united states was going to be able to go in and enforce its political will upon iraq by military means.  the soviets, who presumeably were much less concerned about human rights violations, etc than the u.s. military, was unable to do so in afghanistan, but somehow, miraculously the united states was going to do so in iraq??  we couldnt do it in viet nam.....but great here we are again??  we couldn't do it in korea...but by all means, let's try again!

and the continued arrogance that thinks one can install western liberal democracy as the new world-wide faith, the new crusade at gunpoint, even in the face of overwhelming opposition just goes to show that it is an agenda that it being pushed by fanatics who never had much concern for the human cost.

i am not totally convinced that withdrawing from iraq is the best idea, but i think it is pretty delusional to think that the united states can do anything more than continue to prop up a regime with no future on its own.  civil war was always where this heading and nothing but political naivete stopped people from seeing it.

and yes, i think "liberal humanism" is another word for political naivete.  liberal humanism = the belief that somehow there are timeless liberal and humanistic values that will be enthusiastically embraced by everyone if they were just given the chance.  it is a faith that is absurd and flies in the face of a long human history which shows that liberal governments are things that arose at a very specific time and place.  maybe they will arise elsewhere as history moves on, but they cannot be imposed.

 


Lawrence of Arabia
Yes, yes, yes...NO!!!(none / 0) (#38)
by dmz on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 03:32:41 PM EST

Lawrence

Bravo on the first 3 paragraphs of the above.

then: "liberal humanism = the belief that somehow there are timeless liberal and humanistic values that will be enthusiastically embraced by everyone if they were just given the chance."

I assume you are asserting that "Operation Iraqi Freedom" (wretch, spit, rinse, repeat...) was a noble but arrogant attempt by benevalent western powers to create a shangri la in the middle east ....just cuz. That is who we are ... brazen liberty lovers.

CRAP!

Let's not be so completely naive as to believe that Wolfowitz, Cheyney, Rumsfeld and their little imp Dubya so beloved the Iraqi freedom as to not be able to resist the chance to bequeath freedom and liberty to them...hang the expense in dollars and lives.

Sales job! Blatant, obvious sales job.

Why didn't we start small, like with Darfur or Cuba or Liechtenstein. Free Vatican City from religious oppression! 



[ Parent ]
liberalism and american foreign policy(none / 0) (#39)
by LawrenceofArabia on Wed Dec 27, 2006 at 07:09:06 PM EST

1st, just to clarify, "liberal humanism" was how someone above wanted to redefine neo-conservative...which i basically have no problem with, i do think most republicans and most democrats both are political liberals in some form or another.

but you are right and i certainly do NOT think that the primary motive for the invasion of iraq was noble benevolence.  i do think that part of why the invasion of iraq seemed feasible to rumsfeld and bush (and why the administration still seems to think that democracy is such a great and wonderful idea) is because they did believe that the people of iraq were going to joyously embrace liberalism if only saddam and the ba'athists could be defeated.  it was not simply poor planning that rumsfeld didnt think it would be necessary to send more troops, they also just didnt think this would be the outcome because (isn't it obvious that) everyone wants to be american, and when we say the word "free" the only possible definition must be the american one.  arrogance and naivete in one foreign policy disaster. 

at some level though one also needs to say that i'm not convinced that any amount of troops would have prevented this.  were the shi'a ever going to be happy without major control of the iraqi govt, which would be the result of any truly free election (an outcome that would always have aligned the country with iran, which would be about as bad an outcome as the u.s. could have from the bush-admins point of vw -- why at least THIS much wasnt obvious to everyone is beyond me)??  would the sunni's ever stand for that??  and we all know the kurds want independence.  this whole problem should have been forseeable.

 LoA.


Lawrence of Arabia
[ Parent ]






Here's What Some Soldiers Think...(none / 0) (#41)
by OmarG on Thu Dec 28, 2006 at 11:11:49 AM EST
Washington Post
December 27, 2006
Pg. 13

On A Mission In A Hard Place

By Andrea Bruce

RAMADI, Iraq -- The soldiers of Combat Outpost Iron set out to help one Ramadi neighborhood get back to normal. The troops tried to learn local tribal politics. Passed out Beanie Babies. Drank tea. Attempted Arabic.

Lt. Brian Braithwaite said he truly felt they were making a difference.

Then in early November, Braithwaite's Bradley Fighting Vehicle hit a roadside bomb filled with gasoline, setting his gunner on fire. In the muffled intensity of pulling his friend to safety, Braithwaite said he heard sounds coming from the homes of the people they were trying to help. Laughing. Cheering. Celebrating his friend's near-death.

Braithwaite's unit, the 1st Battalion, 36th Infantry Regiment, has been in the capital of western Iraq's Anbar province since June. Most of the guys here can remember the moment when their frustration killed their empathy. When they no longer felt guilty about knocking down doors. No longer cared to hand out candy.

"Hearts and minds," the soldiers shrug. They joke like this often.




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