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I a) didn't want to go fight a war in Iraq, but b) once we ended up there, I felt we needed to c) leave the place better than we found it, and d) before leaving had to provide for the country, so that e) upon our leaving, the country didn't become a humanitarian sinkhole. That point e was the real kicker for me, and until very recently I was getting kicked by the progressive left for holding the position. In other words, until two weeks ago, I was not ready to leave Iraq. Now, thanks to a Neo-Conservative writer, I am ready.
Sideways Mencken's views are put forth in a series of four hard hitting posts. The most salient conclusion comes in the :
As for Iraq, we've lost that fight. It's too late to double down. We can either cut and run, or we can surge men into Baghdad, shoot some Sadrists, stomp around for a while, hand Mr. Bush a wilted fig leaf with which to cover himself . . . and then cut and run.
In the end the Iraqis will have their fight. They'll probably split the country. We'll try to salvage Kurdistan. We'll continue attacking Al Qaeda in Anbar from 30,000 feet, or with special forces. None of that will be changed because we stay another six months or year or eighteen months. Staying some undefined period will not salvage a win, or save our reputation, or strengthen our hand, or accomplish anything of any value.
Why is this conclusion so hard hitting? Hasn't everyone else been saying it? Well, for this simple reason:
I supported the invasion of Iraq. And I supported it specifically on the Tom Friedman-NeoCon Build a Shining City On The Hill, notion.
The other reason I believe Sideways is because he has been arguing for a year and a half before the ISG that you needed more troops and more power to win the war; that the Rumsfeld model for fighting was crap. In other words, I believe him because he was more hawkish than the hawks. He took the hawks to task for not being hawkish enough. When person says its time to get out, I'm going to listen:
Power. Force. Violence.
Would that it were not so. Yes, war sucks.
Why are we losing in Iraq? Because we didn't bring the power.
It's not that we aren't united. It's not that we had the "wrong" configuration of troops as opposed to the exactly "right" configuration. It's not that reporters don't like the war. It's not that the American people are weak sisters. It's not that the Iraqis are some especially tough case.
We didn't bring the power. Oh, we have the power. But we didn't bring it.
Now, belatedly, after three years of trying to convince us that we were winning, the nerds have begun to admit what has been obvious since "Stuff happens." They admit that we're having problems in Iraq. And along with the grudging admission that we aren't exactly winning, comes the sneaking concession that what they have angrily denied for three years was necessary, has beecome necessary: more power. Now the Rumsfeldians admit, we may just need more men. Say . . . 20,000 more. Just for Baghdad.
His being right allows him to spout off in rhetorical bluster. I am glad to see it because Neo-Cons everywhere need to be smacked with and to be reminded that a children's book writer figured out the logic of war from his basement:
And while we're at it, let's note the fact that what I've been saying since about a month after "Stuff happens," to whit that we needed more not less -- and what does it tell you about the geniuses out there in the President's cheering section that this is actually an insight? -- is now White House doctrine.
Keeping score at home? The new-army Rumsfeldians: Zero. Me: One. Them wrong, me right. Them: learned, sober, firm-chinned men of prodigious upper-lip-stiffness who write in ponderous, magisterial tones replete with references to the Entente Cordiale and sneer as I run around with my hair on fire. Me: a kids book writer who made his money writing, "Rrowwrr!".
Does it not scare you just a bit that the kid's book hack got it, and the Krauthammer-manque crowd didn't? Isn't that just disturbing?
Yes, George, we need a bigger army. Yes, more is better than less. And if you're fighting several wars at once a BIG army is better than a tiny army. And more money is better than less, and healthy is better than sick, and the sky is blue. So many things to learn, George.
Okay. Bigger army. Now. Where the hell are you going to get one? Because honest-to-God I cannot imagine what would convince a man to risk his life to get a piece of this cosmic fuck up. This is like enlisting in 1970 when all you were going to get was your name on a sad black wall and no glory.
Finally, Sideways makes the brilliant argument that not only was he right (after all, he's just a blogger), but that the MSM was about doubting the war as well:
The MSM was right, the rightwing echo chamber was wrong. Thus speaks the guy who once wrote a National Review cover story headlined, "We're Winning!" And, according to Lowry, he and his confreres were not just wrong, but wrong with a persistance that actively contributed to the mess in Iraq. Defeat looms in part because knee-jerk critics of the MSM simply would not or could not take off the blinders and see the truth.
Not only that, but as a Jew, Sideways notices with curiosity that now that all has been lost, the country subconsciously is blaming the Jews:
But you have to add to this strategic myopia a prejudice against the so-called mainstream media that has turned the MSM into a modern version of the Jew: everyone's default scapegoat. Did the war go badly for you, Kaiser? Blame the Jew, er, the MSM.
The MSM: they mix the blood of gentile children with their matzoh. That's why the beet crop failed and your cow gave birth to a two-headed calf.
It takes a lot to make me overcome my humanitarian concerns, but these four posts written by a former believer who didn't just want a "limited" war but a "total" war, demonstrate to me that the war is lost not just tactically but even if we suddenly change our goals from "victory" to "defending the weakest."
No, the weakest will have to prostitute themselves to the strongest to survive. That will be the legacy of our attempted utopia. All we can do, as Americans, is to get people relief from channels that aren't military, and to help as many refugees find asylum elsewhere.